AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Alef Sep 26, 2025

FC Jerusalem

Home
VS
09:00

Hapoel Herzliya

Away
AI Predictions 50.0% Confidence
FC Jerusalem Win
50.0%
Draw
24.0%
Hapoel Herzliya Win
26.0%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.68 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Hapoel Herzliya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
FC Jerusalem Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 FC Jerusa… vs Hapoel He… 6-1
Nov 08 FC Jerusa… vs Hapoel He… 3-0
Hapoel Herzliya Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Hapoel He… vs Tzeirey T… 2-2
Sep 11 Hapoel He… vs Hapoel Ra… 1-2
Sep 05 Hapoel He… vs Kfar Saba… 1-1
May 08 Hapoel He… vs Maccabi Y… 1-4
Apr 25 Hapoel He… vs Dimona 3-0
Apr 22 Hapoel He… vs Shimshon … 2-2
Mar 28 Hapoel He… vs Maccabi Y… 0-1
Mar 21 Hapoel He… vs Holon Yer… 1-0
Mar 12 Hapoel He… vs FC Jerusa… 6-1
Feb 28 Hapoel He… vs Maccabi K… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2025 Hapoel Herzliya 6 - 1 FC Jerusalem Liga Alef
Nov 08, 2024 FC Jerusalem 3 - 0 Hapoel Herzliya Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Jerusalem to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Jerusalem Power 0
Hapoel Herzliya Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FC Jerusalem Position

+8

Position Gap

11

Hapoel Herzliya Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.