AI Match Insights

Liga Alef Sep 19, 2025

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Home
VS
11:10

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Away
AI Predictions 45.5% Confidence
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win
45.5%
Draw
24.9%
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Win
29.6%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.33 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 12 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 0-0
Sep 05 Hapoel Mi… vs Ironi Bak… 0-0
Feb 18 Hapoel Mi… vs Tira 3-0
Feb 14 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 0-0
Jan 21 Hapoel Mi… vs Tzeirei U… 3-1
Jan 17 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Bn… 3-1
Jan 03 Hapoel Mi… vs Ironi Bak… 2-2
Dec 20 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Be… 1-3
Dec 06 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi K… 3-0
Sep 20 Hapoel Mi… vs Tira 4-2
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Ir… 0-0
Sep 07 Maccabi N… vs Tira 1-2
Nov 28 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Be… 1-3
Sep 13 Maccabi N… vs Hapoel Be… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Power 0
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Position

-5

Position Gap

4

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Position

Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.