AI Match Insights

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Paranaense - 3 Nov 09, 2025

Petrópolis

Home
VS
18:30

Araucária

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Petrópolis Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Araucária Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.59 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Petrópolis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Araucária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Petrópolis Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Petrópolis vs Campo Gra… 0-1
Nov 05 Petrópolis vs Artsul 1-0
Nov 02 Petrópolis vs Araucária 0-2
Nov 01 Petrópolis vs Bonsucesso 1-1
Oct 26 Petrópolis vs Oeste Bra… 1-0
Oct 25 Petrópolis vs Serrano RJ 2-1
Oct 19 Petrópolis vs Oeste Bra… 1-2
Oct 18 Petrópolis vs São Crist… 0-1
Oct 11 Petrópolis vs Carapebus 3-0
Oct 05 Petrópolis vs Araucária 2-1
Araucária Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Araucária vs Petrópolis 0-2
Oct 25 Araucária vs União PR 0-1
Oct 18 Araucária vs União PR 0-1
Oct 05 Araucária vs Petrópolis 2-1
Oct 03 Araucária vs Uberlândia 3-0
Oct 01 Araucária vs Internaci… 2-0
Sep 24 Araucária vs Paraty 0-5
Sep 13 Araucária vs Petrópolis 3-3
Sep 10 Araucária vs Uberlândia 3-2
Sep 03 Araucária vs Paraty 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Petrópolis in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Araucária struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Araucária 0 - 2 Petrópolis Paranaense - 3
Oct 05, 2025 Petrópolis 2 - 1 Araucária Paranaense - 3
Sep 13, 2025 Araucária 3 - 3 Petrópolis Paranaense - 3
Oct 05, 2024 Araucária 0 - 1 Petrópolis Paranaense - 3
Sep 08, 2024 Petrópolis 1 - 1 Araucária Paranaense - 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Petrópolis to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Petrópolis Power 0
Araucária Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.