AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Nov 30, 2025

Spezia

Home
VS
16:15

Sampdoria

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sampdoria Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.07 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Spezia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Spezia vs Mantova 4-1
Nov 07 Spezia vs Bari 1-1
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Oct 29 Spezia vs Padova 1-1
Oct 25 Spezia vs Avellino 0-4
Oct 18 Spezia vs Cesena 1-2
Oct 04 Spezia vs Palermo 1-2
Sep 30 Spezia vs Reggiana … 1-1
Sep 27 Spezia vs Venezia 2-0
Sep 24 Spezia vs Parma 2-2
Sampdoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Nov 08 Sampdoria vs Venezia 3-1
Nov 02 Sampdoria vs Mantova 0-1
Oct 28 Sampdoria vs Empoli 1-1
Oct 25 Sampdoria vs Frosinone 1-1
Oct 17 Sampdoria vs Virtus En… 3-1
Oct 05 Sampdoria vs Pescara 4-1
Oct 01 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 0-0
Sep 27 Sampdoria vs Bari 1-1
Sep 20 Sampdoria vs Monza 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2025 Spezia 1 - 1 Sampdoria Coppa Italia
Apr 06, 2025 Spezia 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Sep 17, 2022 Spezia 2 - 1 Sampdoria Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Sampdoria Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

-3

Position Gap

14

Sampdoria Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.