AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Nov 07, 2025

Spezia

Home
VS
19:30

Bari

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Bari Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.30 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Spezia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Spezia vs Monza 1-0
Oct 29 Spezia vs Padova 1-1
Oct 25 Spezia vs Avellino 0-4
Oct 18 Spezia vs Cesena 1-2
Oct 04 Spezia vs Palermo 1-2
Sep 30 Spezia vs Reggiana … 1-1
Sep 27 Spezia vs Venezia 2-0
Sep 24 Spezia vs Parma 2-2
Sep 20 Spezia vs Juve Stab… 1-3
Sep 14 Spezia vs Empoli 1-1
Bari Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Bari vs Cesena 1-0
Oct 26 Bari vs Mantova 1-0
Oct 18 Bari vs Reggiana … 3-1
Oct 09 Bari vs Morocco 1-0
Oct 04 Bari vs Padova 2-1
Sep 30 Bari vs Virtus En… 2-2
Sep 27 Bari vs Sampdoria 1-1
Sep 19 Bari vs Palermo 2-0
Sep 13 Bari vs Modena 3-0
Sep 08 Bari vs United Ar… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bari in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Spezia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2024 Bari 2 - 0 Spezia Pro League
Dec 29, 2024 Bari 2 - 0 Spezia Serie B
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Bari Serie B
Oct 25, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Bari Pro League
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Mar 03, 2024 Bari 1 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Serie B
Dec 15, 2023 Spezia 1 - 0 Bari Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spezia to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Bari Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

+2

Position Gap

19

Bari Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.