AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Aug 24, 2025

AEK Athens FC

Home
VS
17:15

Panserraikos

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
AEK Athens FC Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Panserraikos Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.65 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Athens FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Panserraikos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
AEK Athens FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 AEK Athen… vs Anderlecht 1-1
Aug 14 AEK Athen… vs Paris FC 3-1
Aug 07 AEK Athen… vs Paris FC 2-2
Jul 31 AEK Athen… vs Hapoel Be… 0-0
Jul 24 AEK Athen… vs Hapoel Be… 1-0
May 11 AEK Athen… vs PAOK 1-0
May 04 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 1-2
Apr 27 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 0-2
Apr 13 AEK Athen… vs Olympiako… 1-0
Apr 06 AEK Athen… vs Panathina… 3-1
Panserraikos Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Panserrai… vs Kavala 1-1
May 22 Panserrai… vs Panetolik… 1-0
May 18 Panserrai… vs Levadiakos 0-1
May 18 Panserrai… vs Levadiakos 0-1
May 14 Panserrai… vs Athens Ka… 1-1
May 14 Panserrai… vs Athens Ka… 1-1
May 10 Panserrai… vs Larisa 2-1
May 10 Panserrai… vs Larisa 2-1
May 05 Panserrai… vs Volos NFC 3-0
May 05 Panserrai… vs Volos NFC 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Panserraikos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: AEK Athens FC to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Athens FC Power 0
Panserraikos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Athens FC Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Panserraikos Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.