AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Nov 02, 2025

NK Osijek

Home
VS
17:15

NK Varaždin

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
NK Osijek Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
NK Varaždin Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.90 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Osijek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
NK Osijek Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka 4-2
Oct 18 NK Osijek vs Dinamo Za… 2-1
Oct 04 NK Osijek vs NK Slaven… 2-1
Sep 28 NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica 0-1
Sep 21 NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 2-1
Sep 14 NK Osijek vs Vukovar 4-0
Aug 31 NK Osijek vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Aug 24 NK Osijek vs HNK Hajdu… 0-2
Aug 17 NK Osijek vs NK Varažd… 0-0
Aug 09 NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka 0-0
NK Varaždin Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 NK Varažd… vs NK Lokomo… 4-0
Oct 25 NK Varažd… vs NK Slaven… 1-3
Oct 24 NK Varažd… vs Hrvatski … 1-3
Oct 19 NK Varažd… vs HNK Gorica 1-3
Oct 18 NK Varažd… vs Solin 1-2
Oct 10 NK Varažd… vs Mladost Ž… 3-1
Oct 03 NK Varažd… vs Uljanik 1-0
Oct 03 NK Varažd… vs Istra 1961 1-0
Sep 27 NK Varažd… vs Trnje 2-3
Sep 26 NK Varažd… vs Vukovar 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Osijek struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • NK Varaždin struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2025 NK Varaždin 0 - 0 NK Osijek HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NK Osijek Power 0
NK Varaždin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

NK Osijek Position

-5

Position Gap

4

NK Varaždin Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.