AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
HNL Nov 01, 2025

Istra 1961

Home
VS
17:45

Vukovar

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Istra 1961 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Vukovar Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.04 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Istra 1961 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Vukovar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Istra 1961 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
Oct 19 Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajdu… 0-3
Oct 03 Istra 1961 vs NK Varažd… 1-0
Sep 27 Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka 0-0
Sep 21 Istra 1961 vs NK Osijek 2-1
Sep 12 Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven… 2-1
Aug 29 Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica 1-0
Aug 23 Istra 1961 vs Dinamo Za… 3-0
Aug 15 Istra 1961 vs Vukovar 1-1
Aug 09 Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomo… 2-2
Vukovar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Vukovar vs Dinamo Za… 1-0
Oct 17 Vukovar vs NK Lokomo… 1-1
Oct 04 Vukovar vs HNK Hajdu… 0-1
Sep 26 Vukovar vs NK Varažd… 2-1
Sep 22 Vukovar vs HNK Rijeka 3-2
Sep 14 Vukovar vs NK Osijek 4-0
Sep 10 Vukovar vs HNK Cibal… 0-1
Aug 30 Vukovar vs NK Slaven… 1-2
Aug 22 Vukovar vs HNK Gorica 2-2
Aug 15 Vukovar vs Istra 1961 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Istra 1961 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2025 Vukovar 1 - 1 Istra 1961 HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Istra 1961 to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Istra 1961 Power 0
Vukovar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Istra 1961 Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Vukovar Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.