AI Match Insights

HNL Oct 25, 2025

NK Varaždin

Home
VS
16:00

NK Slaven Belupo

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
NK Varaždin Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
NK Slaven Belupo Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.42 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
NK Varaždin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
NK Slaven Belupo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
NK Varaždin Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 NK Varažd… vs Hrvatski … 1-3
Oct 19 NK Varažd… vs HNK Gorica 1-3
Oct 18 NK Varažd… vs Solin 1-2
Oct 10 NK Varažd… vs Mladost Ž… 3-1
Oct 03 NK Varažd… vs Uljanik 1-0
Oct 03 NK Varažd… vs Istra 1961 1-0
Sep 27 NK Varažd… vs Trnje 2-3
Sep 26 NK Varažd… vs Vukovar 2-1
Sep 20 NK Varažd… vs Dugo Selo 2-0
Sep 20 NK Varažd… vs NK Lokomo… 1-0
NK Slaven Belupo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 1-1
Oct 04 NK Slaven… vs NK Osijek 2-1
Sep 28 NK Slaven… vs Dinamo Za… 4-1
Sep 21 NK Slaven… vs HNK Gorica 2-1
Sep 12 NK Slaven… vs Istra 1961 2-1
Aug 30 NK Slaven… vs Vukovar 1-2
Aug 23 NK Slaven… vs NK Lokomo… 1-2
Aug 17 NK Slaven… vs HNK Hajdu… 3-0
Aug 10 NK Slaven… vs NK Varažd… 3-1
Aug 03 NK Slaven… vs HNK Rijeka 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • NK Varaždin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2025 NK Slaven Belupo 3 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Apr 22, 2025 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Feb 16, 2025 NK Varaždin 0 - 1 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Jan 10, 2025 NK Varaždin 1 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo Friendlies Clu…
Nov 10, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 1 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Aug 24, 2024 NK Varaždin 2 - 0 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Apr 06, 2024 NK Slaven Belupo 0 - 1 NK Varaždin HNL
Jan 26, 2024 NK Varaždin 1 - 2 NK Slaven Belupo HNL
Oct 06, 2023 NK Slaven Belupo 3 - 2 NK Varaždin HNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NK Varaždin Power 0
NK Slaven Belupo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

NK Varaždin Position

+2

Position Gap

6

NK Slaven Belupo Position

Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.