AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Sep 19, 2025

Kilmarnock

Home
VS
18:45

St. Mirren

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Kilmarnock Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
St. Mirren Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Kilmarnock Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Kilmarnock vs Celtic 1-2
Aug 30 Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 2-2
Aug 23 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Aug 17 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Aug 10 Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 2-2
Aug 02 Kilmarnock vs Livingston 2-2
Jul 26 Kilmarnock vs East Fife 4-0
Jul 22 Kilmarnock vs Kelty Hea… 0-0
Jul 16 Kilmarnock vs Livingston 1-0
Jul 12 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 0-2
St. Mirren Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 St. Mirren vs Falkirk 1-2
Aug 31 St. Mirren vs Hibernian 1-1
Aug 24 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 1-1
Aug 16 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-1
Aug 09 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 0-0
Aug 03 St. Mirren vs Celtic 1-0
Jul 27 St. Mirren vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Jul 19 St. Mirren vs Alloa Ath… 8-2
Jul 15 St. Mirren vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Jul 12 St. Mirren vs Arbroath 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 St. Mirren 5 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2 - 0 St. Mirren Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kilmarnock to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kilmarnock Power 0
St. Mirren Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.