AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Nov 01, 2025

Maccabi Haifa

Home
VS
13:00

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Maccabi Haifa Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.04 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maccabi Haifa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Maccabi Haifa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Maccabi H… vs Ironi Tib… 1-1
Oct 18 Maccabi H… vs Maccabi N… 2-3
Oct 05 Maccabi H… vs Maccabi T… 1-1
Sep 29 Maccabi H… vs Hapoel Be… 0-1
Sep 21 Maccabi H… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-1
Sep 15 Maccabi H… vs Ashdod 5-1
Aug 31 Maccabi H… vs Beitar Je… 0-0
Aug 23 Maccabi H… vs Maccabi B… 4-0
Aug 17 Maccabi H… vs Maccabi T… 0-2
Aug 14 Maccabi H… vs Raków Czę… 0-2
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Hapoel Ka… vs Bnei Sakh… 0-0
Oct 18 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Pe… 0-0
Oct 04 Hapoel Ka… vs Ironi Tib… 1-0
Sep 27 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi N… 1-2
Sep 20 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Sep 14 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Be… 1-5
Aug 30 Hapoel Ka… vs Hapoel Ha… 2-1
Aug 23 Hapoel Ka… vs Ashdod 1-2
Aug 17 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Aug 09 Hapoel Ka… vs Maccabi H… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2025 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 4 - 0 Maccabi Haifa Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 28, 2025 Maccabi Haifa 3 - 2 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… Liga Leumit
Feb 17, 2025 Maccabi Haifa 3 - 3 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… Ligat Ha'al
Feb 08, 2025 Maccabi Haifa 2 - 1 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… Ligat Ha'al
Nov 08, 2024 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 0 - 0 Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al
Nov 02, 2024 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 2 - 3 Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al
Oct 29, 2024 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 4 - 1 Maccabi Haifa Liga Leumit
Aug 03, 2024 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… 1 - 2 Maccabi Haifa Toto Cup Ligat…
Apr 20, 2024 Maccabi Haifa 1 - 0 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… Ligat Ha'al
Mar 05, 2024 Maccabi Haifa 2 - 1 Hapoel Katamon Jeru… State Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maccabi Haifa to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maccabi Haifa Power 0
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Maccabi Haifa Position

+8

Position Gap

13

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.