AI Match Insights

Primera División Femenina Nov 15, 2025

Barcelona Women

Home
VS
15:00

Real Madrid Women

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Barcelona Women Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Real Madrid Women Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.83 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Barcelona Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Real Madrid Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Barcelona Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Barcelona… vs OH Leuven… 3-0
Nov 09 Barcelona… vs Deportivo… 8-0
Nov 02 Barcelona… vs Real Soci… 1-0
Oct 19 Barcelona… vs Granada 2-0
Oct 15 Barcelona… vs Roma Women 0-4
Oct 12 Barcelona… vs Atlético … 0-6
Oct 07 Barcelona… vs Bayern Mu… 7-1
Oct 04 Barcelona… vs Eibar Wom… 0-4
Sep 27 Barcelona… vs Espanyol … 2-0
Sep 21 Barcelona… vs Sevilla F… 0-5
Real Madrid Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Real Madr… vs Paris FC … 1-1
Nov 08 Real Madr… vs Alhama 5-0
Nov 01 Real Madr… vs Espanyol … 0-1
Oct 19 Real Madr… vs Levante W… 4-0
Oct 16 Real Madr… vs Paris Sai… 1-2
Oct 12 Real Madr… vs Athletic … 1-4
Oct 08 Real Madr… vs Roma Women 6-2
Oct 04 Real Madr… vs Levante L… 3-0
Sep 28 Real Madr… vs Granadill… 0-0
Sep 21 Real Madr… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barcelona Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Real Madrid Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2025 Barcelona Women 1 - 3 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Jan 26, 2025 Barcelona Women 5 - 0 Real Madrid Women Supercopa Feme…
Nov 16, 2024 Real Madrid Women 0 - 4 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 24, 2024 Real Madrid Women 0 - 3 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Jan 17, 2024 Barcelona Women 4 - 0 Real Madrid Women Supercopa Feme…
Nov 19, 2023 Barcelona Women 5 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 25, 2023 Barcelona Women 1 - 0 Real Madrid Women Primera Divisi…
Nov 06, 2022 Real Madrid Women 0 - 4 Barcelona Women Primera Divisi…
Mar 30, 2022 Barcelona Women 5 - 2 Real Madrid Women UEFA Champions…
Mar 22, 2022 Real Madrid Women 1 - 3 Barcelona Women UEFA Champions…
Final Verdict

PRO: Barcelona Women to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barcelona Women Power 67
Real Madrid Women Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Barcelona Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Real Madrid Women Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.