AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premijer Liga Oct 18, 2025

Željezničar Sarajevo

Home
VS
16:30

Posušje

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Željezničar Sarajevo Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Posušje Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.33 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Željezničar Sarajevo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Posušje Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Željezničar Sarajevo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Željeznič… vs Radnik Bi… 1-0
Sep 27 Željeznič… vs FK Saraje… 2-0
Sep 21 Željeznič… vs Široki Br… 1-0
Sep 15 Željeznič… vs Borac Ban… 3-2
Aug 30 Željeznič… vs Sloga Dob… 0-0
Aug 24 Željeznič… vs Zrinjski 2-0
Aug 15 Željeznič… vs Velež 0-1
Aug 09 Željeznič… vs Rudar Pri… 1-1
Aug 03 Željeznič… vs Posušje 0-1
Jul 27 Željeznič… vs Radnik Bi… 1-1
Posušje Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Posušje vs Široki Br… 1-1
Sep 28 Posušje vs Borac Ban… 0-2
Sep 21 Posušje vs Sloga Dob… 2-0
Sep 14 Posušje vs Zrinjski 0-1
Aug 30 Posušje vs Velež 0-1
Aug 22 Posušje vs Rudar Pri… 0-0
Aug 16 Posušje vs FK Saraje… 2-1
Aug 10 Posušje vs Radnik Bi… 2-0
Aug 03 Posušje vs Željeznič… 0-1
Jul 26 Posušje vs Široki Br… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Posušje struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2025 Posušje 0 - 1 Željezničar Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Željezničar Sarajevo Power 0
Posušje Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Željezničar Sarajevo Position

+4

Position Gap

9

Posušje Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.