AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premijer Liga Oct 06, 2025

FK Sarajevo

Home
VS
16:00

Zrinjski

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
FK Sarajevo Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Zrinjski Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.98 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.0
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Sarajevo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Zrinjski Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
FK Sarajevo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Željezničā€¦ 2-0
Sep 20 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Velež 2-0
Sep 14 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Å iroki Brā€¦ 2-1
Sep 10 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Zrinjski 2-0
Aug 29 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Rudar Priā€¦ 1-0
Aug 27 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs OH Leuvenā€¦ 1-2
Aug 24 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Borac Banā€¦ 5-1
Aug 16 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs PosuÅ”je 2-1
Aug 09 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 2-1
Aug 03 FK Sarajeā€¦ vs Radnik Biā€¦ 4-4
Zrinjski Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Zrinjski vs Lincoln Rā€¦ 5-0
Sep 27 Zrinjski vs Velež 1-3
Sep 21 Zrinjski vs Rudar Priā€¦ 0-0
Sep 17 Zrinjski vs Sloga Dobā€¦ 3-0
Sep 14 Zrinjski vs PosuŔje 0-1
Sep 10 Zrinjski vs FK Sarajeā€¦ 2-0
Sep 01 Zrinjski vs Radnik Biā€¦ 2-0
Aug 28 Zrinjski vs Utrecht 0-0
Aug 24 Zrinjski vs Željezničā€¦ 2-0
Aug 21 Zrinjski vs Utrecht 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zrinjski in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • FK Sarajevo struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 10, 2025 Zrinjski 2 - 0 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Apr 11, 2025 FK Sarajevo 0 - 0 Zrinjski Premijer Liga
Mar 11, 2025 Zrinjski 0 - 1 FK Sarajevo Cup
Feb 25, 2025 FK Sarajevo 1 - 1 Zrinjski Cup
Nov 29, 2024 FK Sarajevo 0 - 1 Zrinjski Premijer Liga
Nov 06, 2024 Zrinjski 1 - 1 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Apr 24, 2024 Zrinjski 4 - 3 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Dec 18, 2023 Zrinjski 2 - 0 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Sep 16, 2023 FK Sarajevo 1 - 0 Zrinjski Premijer Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Sarajevo to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Sarajevo Power 0
Zrinjski Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FK Sarajevo Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Zrinjski Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 78%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.