AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 05, 2025

Tre Penne

Home
VS
13:00

Pennarossa

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Pennarossa Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Pennarossa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Tre Penne Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Sep 23 Tre Penne vs Domagnano 3-0
Sep 20 Tre Penne vs San Marin… 1-0
Sep 13 Tre Penne vs Faetano 0-6
Aug 29 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 2-0
Apr 26 Tre Penne vs Juvenes /… 4-2
Apr 18 Tre Penne vs San Marin… 0-2
Apr 12 Tre Penne vs Murata 2-2
Apr 06 Tre Penne vs Virtus 2-0
Mar 29 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 3-2
Pennarossa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Pennarossa vs Faetano 1-2
Sep 24 Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori 1-1
Sep 19 Pennarossa vs Virtus 0-3
Sep 14 Pennarossa vs Fiorentino 2-0
Aug 30 Pennarossa vs Domagnano 0-4
Apr 27 Pennarossa vs Virtus 3-3
Apr 18 Pennarossa vs Cailungo 7-0
Apr 05 Pennarossa vs Juvenes /… 1-0
Mar 30 Pennarossa vs Domagnano 2-4
Mar 15 Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Penne in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Pennarossa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power 0
Pennarossa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Tre Penne Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Pennarossa Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.