AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 05, 2025

Murata

Home
VS
13:00

Libertas

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Murata Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Libertas Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.03 - 1.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.4
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murata Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Libertas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Murata Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Murata vs Folgore 0-2
Sep 24 Murata vs Faetano 2-0
Sep 21 Murata vs La Fiorit… 3-1
Sep 13 Murata vs Cailungo 1-1
Aug 29 Murata vs Faetano 0-2
Apr 30 Murata vs Faetano 0-1
Apr 27 Murata vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 18 Murata vs Faetano 2-2
Apr 12 Murata vs Tre Penne 2-2
Apr 05 Murata vs San Giova… 0-0
Libertas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Libertas vs San Giova… 1-0
Sep 23 Libertas vs Cailungo 1-1
Sep 19 Libertas vs Cailungo 0-1
Sep 14 Libertas vs Domagnano 5-2
Aug 29 Libertas vs San Marin… 1-1
Apr 26 Libertas vs Cailungo 0-0
Apr 12 Libertas vs San Giova… 2-3
Apr 05 Libertas vs Domagnano 1-0
Mar 29 Libertas vs Virtus 0-2
Feb 16 Libertas vs Tre Penne 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murata struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 08, 2025 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Oct 06, 2024 Libertas 1 - 0 Murata Campionato
Jan 23, 2024 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Sep 23, 2023 Libertas 1 - 4 Murata Campionato
Apr 15, 2023 Libertas 0 - 0 Murata Campionato
Jan 08, 2023 Murata 2 - 3 Libertas Campionato
Feb 12, 2022 Libertas 3 - 0 Murata Campionato
Oct 20, 2021 Murata 1 - 0 Libertas Campionato
Mar 13, 2021 Murata 0 - 1 Libertas Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murata Power 0
Libertas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Murata Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Libertas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.