AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Aug 29, 2025

Stade Nyonnais

Home
VS
17:30

Bellinzona

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Stade Nyonnais Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Bellinzona Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.49 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Nyonnais Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Bellinzona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Stade Nyonnais Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 1-1
Aug 22 Stade Nyo… vs FC Aarau 4-5
Aug 10 Stade Nyo… vs FC Vaduz 3-0
Aug 01 Stade Nyo… vs Rapperswil 1-0
Jul 25 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
May 23 Stade Nyo… vs FC Aarau 1-1
May 16 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-3
May 09 Stade Nyo… vs FC Schaff… 2-3
May 02 Stade Nyo… vs FC Vaduz 1-0
Apr 26 Stade Nyo… vs Stade Lau… 0-1
Bellinzona Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 26 Bellinzona vs Yverdon S… 0-0
Aug 22 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 6-0
Aug 13 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 1-0
Aug 09 Bellinzona vs Stade Lau… 2-2
Aug 02 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 1-5
May 23 Bellinzona vs FC Schaff… 1-3
May 16 Bellinzona vs FC Thun 3-1
May 09 Bellinzona vs Stade Lau… 1-1
May 03 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 3-1
Apr 27 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bellinzona struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2025 Bellinzona 2 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Mar 28, 2025 Stade Nyonnais 3 - 0 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Nov 30, 2024 Bellinzona 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jul 26, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 1 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
May 09, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Mar 09, 2024 Bellinzona 0 - 2 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Oct 27, 2023 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Oct 01, 2023 Bellinzona 1 - 0 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jun 04, 2022 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 2 Bellinzona 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Nyonnais Power 0
Bellinzona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stade Nyonnais Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Bellinzona Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.