AI Match Insights

First Division Oct 27, 2025

AEK Larnaca

Home
VS
17:00

Apoel Nicosia

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
AEK Larnaca Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Apoel Nicosia Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 1.39 - 3.25
Score Prediction Analysis
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-3 (6%) 2-3 (5%) 0-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
AEK Larnaca Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 AEK Larna… vs Crystal P… 0-1
Oct 18 AEK Larna… vs Enosis 0-2
Oct 05 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 2-4
Oct 02 AEK Larna… vs AZ Alkmaar 4-0
Sep 27 AEK Larna… vs Digenis Y… 0-4
Sep 22 AEK Larna… vs Aris 3-2
Sep 17 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Sep 13 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 1-1
Aug 31 AEK Larna… vs AEL 2-0
Aug 27 AEK Larna… vs Brann 0-4
Apoel Nicosia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Apoel Nic… vs AE Zakaki… 5-0
Oct 19 Apoel Nic… vs Olympiako… 2-2
Oct 03 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ar… 0-4
Sep 28 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 2-0
Sep 20 Apoel Nic… vs Akritas 0-4
Sep 14 Apoel Nic… vs Enosis 0-2
Aug 31 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 0-1
Aug 24 Apoel Nic… vs Digenis Y… 1-2
Aug 09 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 1-2
May 18 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Larnaca in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Apoel Nicosia in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AEK Larnaca to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AEK Larnaca Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Apoel Nicosia Position

Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.