AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. SNL Oct 17, 2025

Aluminij

Home
VS
15:30

Mura

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Aluminij Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Mura Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.46 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aluminij Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Mura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aluminij Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Aluminij vs Olimpija … 1-1
Sep 26 Aluminij vs Radomlje 2-1
Sep 19 Aluminij vs Maribor 2-3
Sep 14 Aluminij vs Primorje 4-1
Aug 29 Aluminij vs Koper 1-0
Aug 22 Aluminij vs NK Domžale 0-2
Aug 17 Aluminij vs Celje 2-3
Aug 09 Aluminij vs Bravo 1-2
Aug 02 Aluminij vs Mura 1-1
Jul 26 Aluminij vs Olimpija … 0-3
Mura Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Mura vs Fakel Vor… 1-0
Oct 06 Mura vs KAMAZ 5-1
Oct 04 Mura vs Bravo 1-1
Sep 29 Mura vs SKA Khaba… 1-2
Sep 28 Mura vs Olimpija … 0-2
Sep 21 Mura vs Radomlje 0-0
Sep 20 Mura vs Rotor Vol… 0-0
Sep 15 Mura vs FC UFA 2-3
Sep 13 Mura vs Maribor 1-0
Sep 08 Mura vs FK Neftek… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mura struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Mura 1 - 1 Aluminij 1. SNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aluminij Power 0
Mura Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aluminij Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Mura Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.