AI Match Insights

1. SNL Jul 20, 2025

Maribor

Home
VS
18:15

Celje

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Maribor Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Celje Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.85 - 1.30
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maribor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Celje Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Maribor Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Maribor vs Celje 1-1
Apr 21 Maribor vs Mura 1-2
Apr 06 Maribor vs NK Domžale 1-0
Apr 02 Maribor vs Celje 0-1
Mar 04 Maribor vs Aluminij 2-0
Feb 22 Maribor vs Mura 2-0
Feb 08 Maribor vs Celje 1-2
Feb 01 Maribor vs NK Domžale 2-1
Oct 26 Maribor vs Mura 1-1
Oct 06 Maribor vs Celje 1-2
Celje Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Celje vs Sabah FA 3-3
Jul 10 Celje vs Sabah FA 2-3
May 25 Celje vs NK Domžale 1-1
May 14 Celje vs Koper 0-4
May 10 Celje vs Koper 2-3
May 07 Celje vs Maribor 1-1
May 04 Celje vs Primorje 0-5
Apr 30 Celje vs Koper 1-1
Apr 27 Celje vs Olimpija … 3-3
Apr 24 Celje vs Olimpija … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2025 Maribor 1 - 1 Celje 1. SNL
Apr 02, 2025 Maribor 0 - 1 Celje Cup
Feb 08, 2025 Celje 1 - 2 Maribor 1. SNL
Oct 06, 2024 Maribor 1 - 2 Celje 1. SNL
Sep 18, 2024 Celje 2 - 1 Maribor 1. SNL
May 04, 2024 Maribor 3 - 1 Celje 1. SNL
Mar 09, 2024 Celje 1 - 1 Maribor 1. SNL
Nov 12, 2023 Maribor 0 - 1 Celje 1. SNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maribor to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maribor Power 0
Celje Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Maribor Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Celje Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.