AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Sep 12, 2025

Al-Duhail

Home
VS
17:00

UMM Salal

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Al-Duhail Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
UMM Salal Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.62 - 1.31
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Al-Duhail Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 02 Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli D… 0-0
Sep 01 Al-Duhail vs Al Kharai… 5-1
Aug 28 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 1-0
Aug 23 Al-Duhail vs Al Wakrah 0-1
Aug 16 Al-Duhail vs Al Shahan… 1-1
Aug 12 Al-Duhail vs Sepahan FC 3-2
May 14 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 2-2
Apr 23 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 0-0
Apr 21 Al-Duhail vs Al-Arabi … 0-1
Apr 16 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 3-2
UMM Salal Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 UMM Salal vs Al Shamal… 1-3
Aug 29 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 3-2
Aug 23 UMM Salal vs Al Shahan… 2-0
Aug 15 UMM Salal vs Al-Gharafa 4-2
May 19 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 4-2
May 07 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 1-4
Apr 18 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 2-0
Apr 11 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 0-1
Apr 04 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 0-1
Mar 07 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Duhail struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • UMM Salal struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2025 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Aug 22, 2024 Al-Duhail 1 - 0 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 24, 2024 UMM Salal 2 - 0 Al-Duhail Stars League
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Duhail 0 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Apr 29, 2023 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Mar 28, 2023 UMM Salal 0 - 1 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Jan 11, 2023 Al-Duhail 3 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Mar 02, 2022 Al-Duhail 6 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Duhail to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Duhail Power 0
UMM Salal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Duhail Position

+5

Position Gap

11

UMM Salal Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.