AI Match Insights
Stars League Sep 12, 2025
Al-Gharafa
HomeVS
17:00
Al Sailiya SC
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
Draw
Al Sailiya SC Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 66%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.64 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.7
Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
Al-Gharafa Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 01 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 3-3 |
| Aug 28 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … | 2-1 |
| Aug 15 | Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal | 4-2 |
| May 14 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 0-4 |
| Sep 26 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 4-2 |
| Mar 06 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC | 4-0 |
Al Sailiya SC Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 03 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Sailiy… | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 1-2 |
| Aug 21 | Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC | 2-0 |
| Aug 14 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Rayyan | 3-1 |
| Apr 21 | Al Sailiy… vs Muaither … | 1-0 |
| Apr 11 | Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Al Sailiy… vs Muaither … | 1-1 |
| Mar 28 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 3-0 |
| Mar 15 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Bidda | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Mesaim… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al Sailiya SC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 03, 2024 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 1 | Al-Gharafa | QFA Cup |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Al Sailiya SC | 1 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 02, 2022 | Al-Gharafa | 2 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 0 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Dec 08, 2021 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 0 | Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 08, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | QSL Cup |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 0 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power
0
Al Sailiya SC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Al-Gharafa Position+9
Position Gap10
Al Sailiya SC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.