AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Aug 28, 2025

Al-Sadd SC

Home
VS
17:30

Al-Gharafa

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Al-Sadd SC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Al-Gharafa Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.66 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Sadd SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Al-Sadd SC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Al-Sadd SC vs IF Elfsbo… 1-2
Aug 21 Al-Sadd SC vs Al Ahli D… 0-2
Aug 16 Al-Sadd SC vs Malmö FF 0-4
Aug 16 Al-Sadd SC vs Qatar SC 2-3
Aug 09 Al-Sadd SC vs Sirius 0-1
Aug 03 Al-Sadd SC vs Djurgårde… 1-1
Jul 26 Al-Sadd SC vs GAIS 3-0
Jul 20 Al-Sadd SC vs BK Häcken 0-0
Jul 13 Al-Sadd SC vs BK Häcken 4-1
Jul 06 Al-Sadd SC vs AIK Stock… 2-0
Al-Gharafa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi … 2-1
Aug 15 Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal 4-2
May 14 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 2-2
Feb 27 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 0-4
Sep 26 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 4-2
Mar 06 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 2-2
Mar 03 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-1
Sep 28 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 4-0
Sep 15 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 0-1
Feb 15 Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd SC 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Sadd SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 14, 2025 Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 Al-Sadd SC Emir Cup
Feb 27, 2025 Al-Gharafa 0 - 4 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Sep 26, 2024 Al-Sadd SC 4 - 2 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Mar 06, 2024 Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Sep 28, 2023 Al-Sadd SC 4 - 0 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Sep 15, 2023 Al-Sadd SC 0 - 1 Al-Gharafa QFA Cup
Feb 15, 2023 Al-Gharafa 1 - 3 Al-Sadd SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Sadd SC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Sadd SC Power 0
Al-Gharafa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Al-Sadd SC Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Al-Gharafa Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.