AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Aug 16, 2025

Ried

Home
VS
17:30

Sturm Graz

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Ried Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Sturm Graz Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.54 - 1.22
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ried Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Sturm Graz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Ried Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 09 Ried vs SCR Altach 1-0
Aug 02 Ried vs RB Salzbu… 2-2
May 25 Ried vs First Vie… 1-1
May 16 Ried vs Schwarz-W… 1-4
May 11 Ried vs Sturm Gra… 2-1
May 02 Ried vs Admira Wa… 2-0
Apr 27 Ried vs SV Kapfen… 2-1
Apr 21 Ried vs Austria W… 1-1
Aug 28 Ried vs Sturm Graz 1-3
Jul 13 Ried vs České Bud… 4-2
Sturm Graz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien 1-2
Aug 01 Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz 0-2
May 24 Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberg… 1-1
May 18 Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien 3-1
May 09 Sturm Graz vs RB Salzbu… 4-2
May 04 Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz 0-1
Apr 27 Sturm Graz vs Austria W… 0-1
Apr 23 Sturm Graz vs Austria W… 2-1
Apr 20 Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz 2-0
Apr 13 Sturm Graz vs RB Salzbu… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2024 Ried 1 - 3 Sturm Graz Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ried Power 0
Sturm Graz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Ried Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Sturm Graz Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 78%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.