AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Sep 15, 2025

Erzurum BB

Home
VS
17:00

Sakaryaspor

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Erzurum BB Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sakaryaspor Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 92%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.26 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.7 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Erzurum BB Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Sakaryaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Erzurum BB Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Erzurum BB vs Sarıyer 0-2
Aug 24 Erzurum BB vs Pendikspor 3-3
Aug 18 Erzurum BB vs Amed 2-2
Aug 09 Erzurum BB vs Sivasspor 2-0
May 15 Erzurum BB vs Bandırmas… 2-0
May 10 Erzurum BB vs Bandırmas… 0-1
May 04 Erzurum BB vs Rizespor 2-0
Apr 27 Erzurum BB vs Antalyasp… 1-0
Apr 19 Erzurum BB vs İstanbuls… 1-2
Apr 14 Erzurum BB vs Adana Dem… 0-3
Sakaryaspor Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Sakaryasp… vs Boluspor 1-4
Aug 23 Sakaryasp… vs BB Bodrum… 3-1
Aug 17 Sakaryasp… vs 76 Iğdır … 3-2
Aug 10 Sakaryasp… vs Bandırmas… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: Erzurum BB to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Erzurum BB Power 0
Sakaryaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Erzurum BB Position

+16

Position Gap

18

Sakaryaspor Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.