AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Sep 13, 2025

İstanbulspor

Home
VS
13:00

Ümraniyespor

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
İstanbulspor Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Ümraniyespor Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.22 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
İstanbulspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Ümraniyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
İstanbulspor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 İstanbuls… vs Hatayspor 1-1
Aug 25 İstanbuls… vs Manisa FK 1-1
Aug 16 İstanbuls… vs Keçiöreng… 0-0
Aug 09 İstanbuls… vs Serik Bel… 0-0
May 15 İstanbuls… vs Boluspor 1-2
May 10 İstanbuls… vs Yeni Çoru… 3-0
May 04 İstanbuls… vs Erokspor 0-3
Apr 27 İstanbuls… vs Pendikspor 5-2
Apr 19 İstanbuls… vs Erzurum BB 1-2
Apr 12 İstanbuls… vs Keçiöreng… 0-2
Ümraniyespor Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Ümraniyes… vs Erokspor 0-2
Aug 24 Ümraniyes… vs Hatayspor 1-1
Aug 15 Ümraniyes… vs Serik Bel… 1-0
Aug 08 Ümraniyes… vs Manisa FK 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
İstanbulspor Power 0
Ümraniyespor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

İstanbulspor Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Ümraniyespor Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.