AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Nov 22, 2025

Marsa

Home
VS
13:00

Vittoriosa Stars

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Marsa Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Vittoriosa Stars Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.18 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Marsa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Vittoriosa Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Marsa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Marsa vs Birzebbuga 8-2
Nov 01 Marsa vs Sirens 2-2
Oct 26 Marsa vs Gudja Uni… 1-1
Oct 25 Marsa vs St. Andre… 0-2
Sep 27 Marsa vs Fgura Uni… 1-3
Sep 27 Marsa vs Melita 4-0
Sep 21 Marsa vs Marsa 0-2
Sep 13 Marsa vs Zurrieq 1-3
Sep 13 Marsa vs Santa Luc… 7-0
Apr 19 Marsa vs Pietà Hot… 3-2
Vittoriosa Stars Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Vittorios… vs Zurrieq 0-1
Oct 25 Vittorios… vs Swieqi Un… 3-2
Sep 27 Vittorios… vs Mgarr Uni… 1-0
Sep 21 Vittorios… vs Pietà Hot… 2-0
Sep 14 Vittorios… vs Sirens 0-1
Apr 15 Vittorios… vs Marsa 0-0
Feb 26 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 3-1
Dec 16 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 2-0
Dec 03 Vittorios… vs Marsa 3-0
Feb 07 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marsa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Vittoriosa Stars struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 Marsa 0 - 0 Vittoriosa Stars Challenge Leag…
Dec 03, 2022 Vittoriosa Stars 3 - 0 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Marsa Power 0
Vittoriosa Stars Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Marsa Position

-1

Position Gap

13

Vittoriosa Stars Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.