AI Match Insights

Challenge League Nov 22, 2025

PietĂ  Hotspurs

Home
VS
13:00

Marsa

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
PietĂ  Hotspurs Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Marsa Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
PietĂ  Hotspurs Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Marsa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
PietĂ  Hotspurs Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Pietà Hot… vs Santa Luc… 0-1
Oct 26 Pietà Hot… vs Zebbug Ra… 4-1
Sep 27 Pietà Hot… vs Balzan FC 1-1
Sep 21 Pietà Hot… vs Vittorios… 2-0
Sep 13 Pietà Hot… vs Birzebbuga 3-2
Apr 19 Pietà Hot… vs Marsa 3-2
Apr 05 Pietà Hot… vs Swieqi Un… 1-0
Mar 01 Pietà Hot… vs Marsa 5-2
Feb 25 Pietà Hot… vs Fgura Uni… 2-1
Feb 22 Pietà Hot… vs Mgarr Uni… 3-2
Marsa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Marsa vs Birzebbuga 8-2
Nov 01 Marsa vs Sirens 2-2
Oct 26 Marsa vs Gudja Uni… 1-1
Oct 25 Marsa vs St. Andre… 0-2
Sep 27 Marsa vs Fgura Uni… 1-3
Sep 27 Marsa vs Melita 4-0
Sep 21 Marsa vs Marsa 0-2
Sep 13 Marsa vs Zurrieq 1-3
Sep 13 Marsa vs Santa Luc… 7-0
Apr 19 Marsa vs Pietà Hot… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • PietĂ  Hotspurs in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Marsa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 PietĂ  Hotspurs 3 - 2 Marsa Challenge Cup
Mar 01, 2025 Pietà Hotspurs 5 - 2 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Jan 11, 2025 PietĂ  Hotspurs 1 - 5 Marsa FA Trophy
Dec 22, 2024 Pietà Hotspurs 1 - 0 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Apr 14, 2024 Marsa 3 - 0 Pietà Hotspurs Challenge Leag…
Feb 24, 2024 Pietà Hotspurs 1 - 1 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Dec 10, 2023 Marsa 1 - 3 Pietà Hotspurs Challenge Leag…
Feb 27, 2022 Marsa 1 - 2 Pietà Hotspurs Challenge Leag…
Nov 20, 2021 Pietà Hotspurs 2 - 0 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Feb 07, 2021 Marsa 2 - 0 Pietà Hotspurs Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PietĂ  Hotspurs Power 0
Marsa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

PietĂ  Hotspurs Position

+4

Position Gap

14

Marsa Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.