AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Aug 04, 2025

Sutjeska

Home
VS
19:00

Mornar

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Sutjeska Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Mornar Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.52 - 1.14
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sutjeska Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Mornar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Sutjeska Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 31 Sutjeska vs Beitar Je… 5-2
Jul 24 Sutjeska vs Beitar Je… 1-2
Jul 17 Sutjeska vs Dinamo Ba… 0-2
May 24 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 3-3
May 10 Sutjeska vs Mornar 0-2
Apr 26 Sutjeska vs Arsenal T… 1-1
Apr 06 Sutjeska vs Dečić 0-1
Apr 02 Sutjeska vs Jedinstvo 2-1
Mar 12 Sutjeska vs Mornar 1-1
Mar 02 Sutjeska vs Arsenal T… 2-0
Mornar Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Mornar vs Bokelj 4-1
May 10 Mornar vs Sutjeska 0-2
May 04 Mornar vs Buducnost… 3-0
Apr 12 Mornar vs Jezero 0-1
Mar 29 Mornar vs Bokelj 0-2
Mar 12 Mornar vs Sutjeska 1-1
Mar 08 Mornar vs Buducnost… 1-2
Feb 22 Mornar vs Jezero 1-2
Nov 27 Mornar vs Bokelj 3-0
Nov 23 Mornar vs Bokelj 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mornar struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 10, 2025 Mornar 0 - 2 Sutjeska First League
Mar 12, 2025 Sutjeska 1 - 1 Mornar First League
Nov 02, 2024 Mornar 2 - 1 Sutjeska First League
Aug 31, 2024 Sutjeska 1 - 1 Mornar First League
Apr 07, 2024 Sutjeska 2 - 0 Mornar First League
Feb 18, 2024 Mornar 1 - 0 Sutjeska First League
Oct 01, 2023 Sutjeska 0 - 1 Mornar First League
Jul 30, 2023 Mornar 1 - 1 Sutjeska First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sutjeska to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sutjeska Power 0
Mornar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.