AI Match Insights
League One Sep 20, 2025
Stenhousemuir
HomeVS
14:00
Peterhead
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
Draw
Peterhead Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Combined: 62%
Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 2.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (12%)
0-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
Stenhousemuir Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… | 0-1 |
| Sep 06 | Stenhouse… vs Kilmarnoc… | 4-0 |
| Aug 30 | Stenhouse… vs East Fife | 1-1 |
| Aug 26 | Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… | 1-3 |
| Aug 23 | Stenhouse… vs Queen of … | 0-0 |
| Aug 16 | Stenhouse… vs Inverness… | 1-2 |
| Aug 12 | Stenhouse… vs Rangers U… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Stenhouse… vs Rangers FC | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… | 1-2 |
| Jul 26 | Stenhouse… vs Peterhead | 1-0 |
Peterhead Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | Peterhead vs Hamilton … | 2-2 |
| Sep 06 | Peterhead vs Dundee Un… | 3-0 |
| Aug 30 | Peterhead vs Montrose | 2-1 |
| Aug 26 | Peterhead vs Spartans | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Peterhead vs Rangers FC | 3-1 |
| Aug 16 | Peterhead vs Queen of … | 4-0 |
| Aug 12 | Peterhead vs Aberdeen … | 4-2 |
| Aug 09 | Peterhead vs Inverness… | 2-0 |
| Aug 02 | Peterhead vs East Fife | 4-1 |
| Jul 26 | Peterhead vs Stenhouse… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Stenhousemuir in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Stenhousemuir | 1 - 0 | Peterhead | League Cup |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 0 | Peterhead | League Two |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Peterhead | 2 - 1 | Stenhousemuir | League Two |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Stenhousemuir | 2 - 0 | Peterhead | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Peterhead | 0 - 0 | Stenhousemuir | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2021 | Peterhead | 0 - 1 | Stenhousemuir | FA Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power
0
Peterhead Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Stenhousemuir Position+3
Position Gap5
Peterhead Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.