AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 16, 2025

Inverness CT

Home
VS
14:00

Stenhousemuir

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Inverness CT Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Stenhousemuir Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 3.47 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Inverness CT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Inverness CT Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Inverness… vs Elgin City 1-4
Aug 09 Inverness… vs Peterhead 2-0
Aug 02 Inverness… vs Kelty Hea… 0-3
Jul 26 Inverness… vs Raith Rov… 5-1
Jul 22 Inverness… vs East Kilb… 2-6
Jul 19 Inverness… vs ST Johnst… 0-1
Jul 15 Inverness… vs Elgin City 2-0
May 03 Inverness… vs Montrose 0-2
Apr 26 Inverness… vs Arbroath 3-0
Apr 19 Inverness… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Stenhousemuir Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Stenhouse… vs Rangers U… 2-1
Aug 09 Stenhouse… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Aug 02 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Jul 26 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 1-0
Jul 22 Stenhouse… vs Clyde 2-2
Jul 19 Stenhouse… vs Motherwell 0-1
Jul 15 Stenhouse… vs Morton 3-0
May 10 Stenhouse… vs Airdrieon… 2-1
May 06 Stenhouse… vs Airdrieon… 1-3
May 03 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Inverness CT in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Inverness CT League One
Mar 11, 2025 Inverness CT 4 - 1 Stenhousemuir League One
Dec 21, 2024 Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Inverness CT League One
Sep 28, 2024 Inverness CT 0 - 0 Stenhousemuir League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Inverness CT to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Inverness CT Power 0
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Inverness CT Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Stenhousemuir Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.