AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Nov 22, 2025

East Kilbride

Home
VS
15:00

Edinburgh City

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
East Kilbride Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Edinburgh City Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.72 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
East Kilbride Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Edinburgh City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
East Kilbride Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 East Kilb… vs Stranraer 1-3
Nov 11 East Kilb… vs Celtic II 2-0
Nov 08 East Kilb… vs Stirling … 2-0
Nov 01 East Kilb… vs Spartans 2-1
Oct 25 East Kilb… vs Spartans 2-1
Oct 18 East Kilb… vs Elgin City 3-0
Oct 11 East Kilb… vs Hearts U21 3-2
Oct 04 East Kilb… vs Clyde 2-2
Sep 27 East Kilb… vs Annan Ath… 3-1
Sep 23 East Kilb… vs Stenhouse… 3-0
Edinburgh City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Edinburgh… vs Annan Ath… 1-1
Nov 11 Edinburgh… vs East Fife 3-0
Nov 08 Edinburgh… vs Elgin City 1-3
Nov 01 Edinburgh… vs Stirling … 0-1
Oct 25 Edinburgh… vs Stirling … 1-0
Oct 18 Edinburgh… vs Stranraer 1-3
Oct 11 Edinburgh… vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Oct 04 Edinburgh… vs Spartans 0-1
Sep 27 Edinburgh… vs Forfar At… 1-1
Sep 24 Edinburgh… vs Celtic II 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • East Kilbride in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 Edinburgh City 2 - 2 East Kilbride League Two
Jul 06, 2024 East Kilbride 3 - 2 Edinburgh City Friendlies Clu…
Sep 09, 2023 Edinburgh City 1 - 4 East Kilbride Challenge Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: East Kilbride to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
East Kilbride Power 0
Edinburgh City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

East Kilbride Position

+8

Position Gap

10

Edinburgh City Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.