AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Sep 13, 2025

Forfar Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Forfar Athletic Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Dumbarton Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.48 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Forfar Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Forfar Athletic Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Forfar At… vs Dundee II 4-1
Aug 30 Forfar At… vs East Kilb… 5-0
Aug 26 Forfar At… vs Montrose 1-0
Aug 23 Forfar At… vs Spartans 1-0
Aug 16 Forfar At… vs Stirling … 4-2
Aug 12 Forfar At… vs Hibernian… 1-0
Aug 09 Forfar At… vs Clyde 0-0
Aug 02 Forfar At… vs Stranraer 1-0
May 03 Forfar At… vs Stirling … 0-0
Feb 15 Forfar At… vs Stirling … 3-1
Dumbarton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Dumbarton vs East Fife 1-1
Aug 30 Dumbarton vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Aug 26 Dumbarton vs Hearts U21 1-0
Aug 23 Dumbarton vs Annan Ath… 3-4
Aug 16 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 1-1
Aug 12 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-2
Aug 09 Dumbarton vs Spartans 1-2
Aug 02 Dumbarton vs Clyde 2-1
Jul 26 Dumbarton vs Hamilton … 0-1
Jul 23 Dumbarton vs Heart of … 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Forfar Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 Forfar Athletic 0 - 2 Dumbarton League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Dumbarton 2 - 2 Forfar Athletic League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Forfar Athletic 2 - 4 Dumbarton League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Dumbarton 3 - 1 Forfar Athletic League Two
Mar 29, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 1 Forfar Athletic League Two
Jan 14, 2023 Forfar Athletic 2 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Nov 19, 2022 Dumbarton 2 - 2 Forfar Athletic League Two
Oct 01, 2022 Forfar Athletic 0 - 0 Dumbarton League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Forfar Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Forfar Athletic Position

+2

Position Gap

8

Dumbarton Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.