AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 23, 2025

Annan Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Annan Athletic Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Dumbarton Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.65 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Annan Athletic Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Annan Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-2
Aug 09 Annan Ath… vs Stirling … 0-0
Aug 02 Annan Ath… vs Elgin City 3-2
Sep 07 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-5
Aug 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 3-1
Mar 25 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 0-0
Nov 26 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Oct 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Jul 30 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-0
Mar 05 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 4-1
Dumbarton Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 1-1
Aug 12 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-2
Aug 09 Dumbarton vs Spartans 1-2
Aug 02 Dumbarton vs Clyde 2-1
Jul 26 Dumbarton vs Hamilton … 0-1
Jul 23 Dumbarton vs Heart of … 4-0
Jul 19 Dumbarton vs Dunfermli… 0-4
Jul 15 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 1-0
May 03 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 2-1
Apr 26 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Annan Athletic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dumbarton in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Annan Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Annan Athletic Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Dumbarton Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.