AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Nov 25, 2025

Southampton

Home
VS
20:00

Leicester

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Southampton Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Leicester Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.76 - 1.82
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Leicester Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (5%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Southampton Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Southampt… vs Charlton 1-5
Nov 08 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 3-1
Nov 05 Southampt… vs QPR 1-2
Nov 01 Southampt… vs Preston 0-2
Oct 25 Southampt… vs Blackburn 2-1
Oct 21 Southampt… vs West Ham … 3-3
Oct 21 Southampt… vs Bristol C… 3-1
Oct 18 Southampt… vs Swansea 0-0
Oct 11 Southampt… vs FC Halifa… 1-3
Oct 04 Southampt… vs Derby 1-1
Leicester Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Leicester vs Stoke City 2-1
Nov 08 Leicester vs Norwich C… 1-2
Nov 04 Leicester vs Middlesbr… 1-1
Nov 01 Leicester vs Blackburn 0-2
Oct 25 Leicester vs Millwall 1-0
Oct 21 Leicester vs Hull City 2-1
Oct 18 Leicester vs Portsmout… 1-1
Oct 04 Leicester vs Swansea 1-3
Sep 30 Leicester vs Wrexham 1-1
Sep 26 Leicester vs West Brom 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2025 Leicester 2 - 0 Southampton Premier League
Oct 19, 2024 Southampton 2 - 3 Leicester Pro League
Oct 19, 2024 Southampton 2 - 3 Leicester Premier League
Apr 23, 2024 Leicester 5 - 0 Southampton Championship
Apr 23, 2024 Leicester 5 - 0 Southampton Pro League
Sep 15, 2023 Southampton 1 - 4 Leicester Championship
Mar 04, 2023 Southampton 1 - 0 Leicester Premier League
Aug 20, 2022 Leicester 1 - 2 Southampton Premier League
May 22, 2022 Leicester 4 - 1 Southampton Premier League
Dec 01, 2021 Southampton 2 - 2 Leicester Premier League
Final Verdict

PRO: Southampton to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Power 36
Leicester Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Southampton Position

+6

Position Gap

20

Leicester Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.