AI Match Insights
Championship Nov 25, 2025
Norwich City
HomeVS
19:45
Oxford United
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Norwich City Win
Draw
Oxford United Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.32 - 0.87
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Norwich City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Oxford United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%)
0-1 (26%)
0-2 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
88%
Norwich City Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Norwich C… vs Birmingham | 4-1 |
| Nov 08 | Norwich C… vs Leicester | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Norwich C… vs Sheffield… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Norwich C… vs Hull City | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Norwich C… vs Swansea | 2-1 |
| Oct 21 | Norwich C… vs Derby | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Norwich C… vs Bristol C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Norwich C… vs Ipswich | 3-1 |
| Oct 01 | Norwich C… vs West Brom | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Norwich C… vs Stoke City | 1-1 |
Oxford United Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | Oxford Un… vs Middlesbr… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Oxford Un… vs West Brom | 2-1 |
| Nov 04 | Oxford Un… vs Stoke City | 0-3 |
| Nov 01 | Oxford Un… vs Millwall | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Oxford Un… vs Sheffield… | 1-2 |
| Oct 22 | Oxford Un… vs Wrexham | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Oxford Un… vs Derby | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Oxford Un… vs Watford | 2-1 |
| Oct 01 | Oxford Un… vs QPR | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Oxford Un… vs Sheffield… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Norwich City struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 07, 2025 | Norwich City | 1 - 1 | Oxford United | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Oxford United | 2 - 0 | Norwich City | Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Oxford United | 2 - 0 | Norwich City | Championship |
Final Verdict
PRO: Norwich City to win (70% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Norwich City Power
33
Oxford United Power
30
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
18
Norwich City Position+5
Position Gap23
Oxford United Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.