AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Nov 25, 2025

Stoke City

Home
VS
19:45

Charlton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Stoke City Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Charlton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.83 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stoke City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Charlton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Stoke City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Stoke City vs Leicester 2-1
Nov 08 Stoke City vs Coventry 0-1
Nov 04 Stoke City vs Oxford Un… 0-3
Nov 01 Stoke City vs Bristol C… 5-1
Oct 25 Stoke City vs Portsmout… 0-1
Oct 21 Stoke City vs Millwall 2-0
Oct 18 Stoke City vs Wrexham 1-0
Oct 04 Stoke City vs Blackburn 1-1
Sep 30 Stoke City vs Middlesbr… 0-0
Sep 27 Stoke City vs Norwich C… 1-1
Charlton Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Charlton vs Southampt… 1-5
Nov 08 Charlton vs Wrexham 1-0
Nov 04 Charlton vs West Brom 1-0
Nov 01 Charlton vs Swansea 1-1
Oct 25 Charlton vs Hull City 1-1
Oct 21 Charlton vs Ipswich 0-3
Oct 18 Charlton vs Sheffield… 2-1
Oct 04 Charlton vs Preston 2-0
Sep 30 Charlton vs Derby 1-1
Sep 27 Charlton vs Blackburn 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stoke City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

PRO: Stoke City to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stoke City Power 37
Charlton Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Stoke City Position

+5

Position Gap

17

Charlton Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 19%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.