AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Aug 30, 2025

Arbroath

Home
VS
14:00

Airdrieonians

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Arbroath Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Airdrieonians Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.97 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arbroath Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Airdrieonians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Arbroath Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Arbroath vs ST Johnst… 3-0
Aug 09 Arbroath vs Queen's P… 1-3
Aug 01 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 1-1
Jul 26 Arbroath vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Jul 22 Arbroath vs Alloa Ath… 6-0
Jul 19 Arbroath vs Ayr Utd 4-0
Jul 12 Arbroath vs St. Mirren 0-0
May 03 Arbroath vs Queen of … 1-1
Apr 26 Arbroath vs Inverness… 3-0
Apr 19 Arbroath vs Alloa Ath… 5-1
Airdrieonians Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Airdrieon… vs Queen's P… 1-1
Aug 09 Airdrieon… vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Aug 02 Airdrieon… vs Ross Coun… 2-2
Jul 26 Airdrieon… vs Alloa Ath… 2-3
Jul 23 Airdrieon… vs Montrose 1-2
Jul 15 Airdrieon… vs Bonnyrigg… 3-0
Jul 12 Airdrieon… vs Dundee Utd 0-1
May 17 Airdrieon… vs Rangers FC 0-0
May 14 Airdrieon… vs Rangers FC 1-2
May 10 Airdrieon… vs Stenhouse… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2024 Arbroath 1 - 2 Airdrieonians Championship
Mar 16, 2024 Airdrieonians 5 - 2 Arbroath Championship
Nov 11, 2023 Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath Championship
Sep 16, 2023 Arbroath 4 - 0 Airdrieonians Championship
Jul 23, 2022 Arbroath 3 - 0 Airdrieonians League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Arbroath to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arbroath Power 0
Airdrieonians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arbroath Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Airdrieonians Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.