AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Aug 23, 2025

Celtic

Home
VS
14:00

Livingston

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Celtic Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Livingston Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.01 - 1.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Celtic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 20 Celtic vs Kairat Al… 0-0
Aug 15 Celtic vs Riga FC 1-2
Aug 15 Celtic vs Falkirk 4-1
Aug 10 Celtic vs Aberdeen 0-2
Aug 09 Celtic vs Brinje-Gr… 2-3
Aug 03 Celtic vs St. Mirren 1-0
May 24 Celtic vs Aberdeen 1-1
May 17 Celtic vs St. Mirren 1-1
May 14 Celtic vs Aberdeen 1-5
May 10 Celtic vs Hibernian 3-1
Livingston Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Livingston vs Hibernian 0-2
Aug 09 Livingston vs Falkirk 3-1
Aug 02 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 2-2
Jul 26 Livingston vs Kelty Hea… 6-0
Jul 19 Livingston vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jul 16 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Jul 12 Livingston vs East Fife 1-2
May 26 Livingston vs Ross Coun… 2-4
May 22 Livingston vs Ross Coun… 1-1
May 16 Livingston vs Partick 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celtic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Livingston in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 31, 2024 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 10, 2024 Celtic 4 - 2 Livingston FA Cup
Dec 23, 2023 Celtic 2 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Sep 23, 2023 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Feb 01, 2023 Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Dec 21, 2022 Celtic 2 - 1 Livingston Premiership
Oct 30, 2022 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Mar 06, 2022 Livingston 1 - 3 Celtic Premiership
Oct 30, 2021 Celtic 0 - 0 Livingston Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Celtic to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celtic Power 0
Livingston Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Celtic Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Livingston Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.