AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Aug 09, 2025

Livingston

Home
VS
14:00

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Livingston Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Falkirk Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.81 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Livingston Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Livingston Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 2-2
Jul 26 Livingston vs Kelty Hea… 6-0
Jul 19 Livingston vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jul 16 Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Jul 12 Livingston vs East Fife 1-2
May 26 Livingston vs Ross Coun… 2-4
May 22 Livingston vs Ross Coun… 1-1
May 16 Livingston vs Partick 2-0
May 13 Livingston vs Partick 0-2
May 02 Livingston vs Partick 0-1
Falkirk Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Jul 26 Falkirk vs Spartans 4-0
Jul 22 Falkirk vs Queen's P… 3-1
Jul 19 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 0-0
Jul 12 Falkirk vs Brechin 0-7
May 02 Falkirk vs Hamilton … 3-1
Apr 25 Falkirk vs Partick 2-1
Apr 19 Falkirk vs Raith Rov… 1-3
Apr 11 Falkirk vs Ayr Utd 1-1
Apr 05 Falkirk vs Morton 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Livingston in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Falkirk in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 25, 2025 Livingston 1 - 0 Falkirk Championship
Jan 31, 2025 Falkirk 1 - 2 Livingston Championship
Nov 16, 2024 Livingston 1 - 0 Falkirk Championship
Oct 08, 2024 Falkirk 0 - 0 Livingston Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Livingston Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Livingston Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Falkirk Position
Home Win Rate: 8%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.