AI Match Insights
Ligue A Nov 09, 2025
Le Messager Ngozi
HomeVS
13:00
Dynamik
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Le Messager Ngozi Win
Draw
Dynamik Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.03 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Le Messager Ngozi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Dynamik Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
Le Messager Ngozi Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 02 | Le Messag… vs Garage Ex… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Le Messag… vs Kayanza U… | 2-3 |
| Oct 17 | Le Messag… vs Green Far… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | Le Messag… vs Rukinzo | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Le Messag… vs Musongati | 1-0 |
| Sep 19 | Le Messag… vs Olympic S… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Le Messag… vs Aigle Noir | 4-1 |
| Aug 31 | Le Messag… vs Royal Vis… | 3-1 |
| Aug 24 | Le Messag… vs Vital'O | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Le Messag… vs Inter Star | 1-1 |
Dynamik Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 01 | Dynamik vs Royal Vis… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Dynamik vs Vital'O | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Dynamik vs Inter Star | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Dynamik vs Flambeau … | 3-2 |
| Oct 04 | Dynamik vs Ngozi City | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Dynamik vs Bumamuru | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Dynamik vs Muzinga FC | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | Dynamik vs Aigle Noir | 1-7 |
| Aug 23 | Dynamik vs Garage Ex… | 2-0 |
| Aug 15 | Dynamik vs Kayanza U… | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Le Messager Ngozi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
- Dynamik struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2025 | Le Messager Ngozi | 1 - 0 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Le Messager Ngozi | 0 - 0 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Dynamik | 0 - 3 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Dec 04, 2022 | Le Messager Ngozi | 2 - 1 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| May 04, 2022 | Le Messager Ngozi | 0 - 0 | Dynamik | Ligue A |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Dynamik | 1 - 2 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Dynamik | 0 - 1 | Le Messager Ngozi | Ligue A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Le Messager Ngozi Power
0
Dynamik Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Le Messager Ngozi Position+2
Position Gap14
Dynamik Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.