AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 21, 2025

NAPSA Stars FC

Home
VS
13:00

Mines

Away
AI Predictions 48.5% Confidence
NAPSA Stars FC Win
48.5%
Draw
24.3%
Mines Win
27.2%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.79 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NAPSA Stars FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Mines Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
NAPSA Stars FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 NAPSA Sta… vs Power Dyn… 2-0
Aug 30 NAPSA Sta… vs Red Arrows 1-1
Aug 23 NAPSA Sta… vs Mufulira … 0-0
Aug 16 NAPSA Sta… vs Green Eag… 0-2
May 17 NAPSA Sta… vs Mutondo S… 0-0
Apr 19 NAPSA Sta… vs Kabwe War… 2-2
Apr 03 NAPSA Sta… vs Power Dyn… 0-2
Mar 13 NAPSA Sta… vs Zanaco 1-0
Feb 23 NAPSA Sta… vs Red Arrows 1-0
Feb 15 NAPSA Sta… vs Mufulira … 1-0
Mines Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Mines vs Green Buf… 2-0
Aug 31 Mines vs Power Dyn… 0-0
Aug 23 Mines vs Red Arrows 4-1
Aug 16 Mines vs Mufulira … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mines struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: NAPSA Stars FC to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAPSA Stars FC Power 0
Mines Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

NAPSA Stars FC Position

+6

Position Gap

18

Mines Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.