AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 13, 2025

Kabwe Warriors

Home
VS
13:00

Nkana

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Kabwe Warriors Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Nkana Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.42 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.9 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kabwe Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Nkana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Kabwe Warriors Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Kabwe War… vs Nkwazi 0-0
Aug 23 Kabwe War… vs Prison Le… 0-0
Aug 16 Kabwe War… vs Kansanshi… 0-0
May 17 Kabwe War… vs Nkana 2-0
May 04 Kabwe War… vs Nkwazi 1-1
Apr 19 Kabwe War… vs NAPSA Sta… 2-2
Apr 09 Kabwe War… vs ZESCO Uni… 0-1
Mar 08 Kabwe War… vs Man Utd Z… 2-0
Mar 01 Kabwe War… vs Power Dyn… 1-3
Jan 25 Kabwe War… vs Red Arrows 1-1
Nkana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Nkana vs Green Buf… 1-0
Aug 23 Nkana vs Nkwazi 1-1
Aug 17 Nkana vs Prison Le… 0-0
May 17 Nkana vs Kabwe War… 2-0
May 03 Nkana vs Man Utd Z… 5-2
Apr 20 Nkana vs Power Dyn… 1-1
Apr 09 Nkana vs Green Eag… 0-1
Feb 22 Nkana vs Nchanga R… 2-0
Feb 16 Nkana vs Green Eag… 1-0
Feb 01 Nkana vs Nkwazi 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Nkana 2 - 0 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Dec 18, 2024 Kabwe Warriors 1 - 1 Nkana Super League
May 25, 2024 Kabwe Warriors 2 - 0 Nkana Super League
Dec 17, 2023 Nkana 0 - 1 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Jan 08, 2023 Kabwe Warriors 1 - 0 Nkana Super League
Aug 21, 2022 Nkana 0 - 0 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Jan 27, 2022 Nkana 1 - 0 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Sep 26, 2021 Kabwe Warriors 0 - 1 Nkana Super League
Mar 03, 2021 Nkana 0 - 2 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kabwe Warriors to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kabwe Warriors Power 0
Nkana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Kabwe Warriors Position

+8

Position Gap

13

Nkana Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.