AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Oct 28, 2025

Young Africans

Home
VS
13:00

Mtibwa Sugar

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Young Africans Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Mtibwa Sugar Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Young Africans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Mtibwa Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Young Africans Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Young Afr… vs Silver St… 2-0
Oct 18 Young Afr… vs Silver St… 1-0
Sep 30 Young Afr… vs Mbeya Cit… 0-0
Sep 27 Young Afr… vs Wiliete 2-0
Sep 26 Young Afr… vs Royal Leo… 5-0
Sep 24 Young Afr… vs Pamba Jiji 3-0
Sep 20 Young Afr… vs Royal Leo… 0-2
Sep 19 Young Afr… vs Wiliete 0-3
Jun 25 Young Afr… vs Simba 2-0
Jun 22 Young Afr… vs Dodoma Ji… 5-0
Mtibwa Sugar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Mtibwa Su… vs Dodoma Ji… 0-0
Oct 19 Mtibwa Su… vs Coastal U… 0-0
Sep 28 Mtibwa Su… vs Singida B… 2-0
Sep 21 Mtibwa Su… vs Mashujaa 1-0
May 20 Mtibwa Su… vs Namungo 0-0
May 09 Mtibwa Su… vs Kitayosce 3-0
May 06 Mtibwa Su… vs Azam 0-2
May 03 Mtibwa Su… vs Simba 2-0
Apr 29 Mtibwa Su… vs JKT Tanza… 2-1
Apr 16 Mtibwa Su… vs KMC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Young Africans to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Young Africans Power 0
Mtibwa Sugar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Young Africans Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Mtibwa Sugar Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.