AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Nov 23, 2025
Rayon Sports
HomeVS
13:00
AS Kigali
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Rayon Sports Win
Draw
AS Kigali Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.84 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.3
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (17%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
Rayon Sports Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 08 | Rayon Spo… vs APR | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | Rayon Spo… vs Marines | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Rayon Spo… vs Amagaju | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Rayon Spo… vs Rutsiro | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Rayon Spo… vs Gasogi Un… | 2-2 |
| Oct 02 | Rayon Spo… vs Police | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Rayon Spo… vs Kiyovu Sp… | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 1-3 |
| May 05 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 4-2 |
AS Kigali Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 07 | AS Kigali vs Police | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… | 0-3 |
| Oct 25 | AS Kigali vs Mukura | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | AS Kigali vs Marines | 1-0 |
| Oct 03 | AS Kigali vs Gorilla | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | AS Kigali vs Musanze | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | AS Kigali vs Amagaju | 1-2 |
| May 22 | AS Kigali vs Police | 1-1 |
| May 19 | AS Kigali vs Etincelles | 2-2 |
| Mar 28 | AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Rayon Sports | 2 - 1 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Dec 14, 2024 | AS Kigali | 1 - 3 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
| May 05, 2024 | Rayon Sports | 4 - 2 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Dec 09, 2023 | AS Kigali | 2 - 1 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
| Mar 12, 2023 | AS Kigali | 1 - 1 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Rayon Sports | 1 - 0 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Rayon Sports | 1 - 0 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Dec 18, 2021 | AS Kigali | 1 - 2 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Rayon Sports Power
0
AS Kigali Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
9
Rayon Sports Position+5
Position Gap14
AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.