AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 07, 2025

AS Kigali

Home
VS
13:00

Police

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Police Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.33
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Police Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (26%) 0-0 (20%) 0-2 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-3 (8%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
AS Kigali Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-3
Oct 25 AS Kigali vs Mukura 2-0
Oct 18 AS Kigali vs Marines 1-0
Oct 03 AS Kigali vs Gorilla 1-1
Sep 20 AS Kigali vs Musanze 1-0
Sep 14 AS Kigali vs Amagaju 1-2
May 22 AS Kigali vs Police 1-1
May 19 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-2
Mar 28 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-0
Mar 15 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-1
Police Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Police vs Mukura 1-1
Oct 26 Police vs Marines 1-2
Oct 19 Police vs Amagaju 1-0
Oct 05 Police vs Muhanga 1-0
Oct 02 Police vs Rayon Spo… 0-1
Sep 13 Police vs Rutsiro 2-1
May 27 Police vs Etincelles 3-3
May 22 Police vs AS Kigali 1-1
Apr 27 Police vs Gorilla 0-0
Apr 18 Police vs Gasogi Un… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Police in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • AS Kigali struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 22, 2025 Police 1 - 1 AS Kigali National Socce…
Nov 10, 2024 AS Kigali 1 - 0 Police National Socce…
Feb 24, 2024 Police 0 - 1 AS Kigali National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AS Kigali Power 0
Police Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Police Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.