AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Oct 30, 2025

Gasogi United

Home
VS
13:00

Muhanga

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Gasogi United Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Muhanga Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.95 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gasogi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Muhanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Gasogi United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Gasogi Un… vs Gicumbi 2-1
Oct 18 Gasogi Un… vs Bugesera 0-0
Oct 05 Gasogi Un… vs Rayon Spo… 2-2
Sep 19 Gasogi Un… vs Rutsiro 2-3
Sep 13 Gasogi Un… vs Etincelles 0-0
May 20 Gasogi Un… vs Gorilla 2-1
May 10 Gasogi Un… vs Musanze 1-1
Apr 27 Gasogi Un… vs Amagaju 1-0
Apr 18 Gasogi Un… vs Police 0-2
Mar 28 Gasogi Un… vs AS Kigali 0-0
Muhanga Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Muhanga vs Bugesera 0-1
Oct 18 Muhanga vs Etincelles 1-1
Oct 05 Muhanga vs Police 1-0
Sep 19 Muhanga vs Kiyovu Sp… 0-1
Sep 12 Muhanga vs Gorilla 2-0
May 27 Muhanga vs Musanze 3-1
May 14 Muhanga vs APR 3-1
May 05 Muhanga vs APR 1-3
Dec 07 Muhanga vs Musanze 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muhanga struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Gasogi United to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gasogi United Power 0
Muhanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Gasogi United Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Muhanga Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.