AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Oct 05, 2025

Amagaju

Home
VS
13:00

Gicumbi

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Amagaju Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Gicumbi Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Amagaju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Gicumbi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Amagaju Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Amagaju vs Bugesera 0-0
Sep 14 Amagaju vs AS Kigali 1-2
May 22 Amagaju vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-0
May 17 Amagaju vs Mukura 1-1
May 10 Amagaju vs APR 3-1
Apr 27 Amagaju vs Gasogi Un… 1-0
Mar 15 Amagaju vs Marines 1-2
Feb 15 Amagaju vs Rutsiro 0-0
Feb 09 Amagaju vs Etincelles 0-1
Jan 12 Amagaju vs APR 1-0
Gicumbi Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 18 Gicumbi vs APR 1-2
Sep 13 Gicumbi vs Bugesera 1-0
Jun 13 Gicumbi vs Rutsiro 1-3
May 23 Gicumbi vs Mukura 1-0
May 07 Gicumbi vs Kiyovu Sp… 2-2
Apr 23 Gicumbi vs Musanze 1-0
Apr 16 Gicumbi vs Marines 2-1
Mar 20 Gicumbi vs Police 1-1
Mar 14 Gicumbi vs AS Kigali 1-0
Feb 27 Gicumbi vs Kiyovu Sp… 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gicumbi struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Amagaju Power 0
Gicumbi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Amagaju Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Gicumbi Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.