AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Oct 04, 2025
Mukura
HomeVS
13:00
Kiyovu Sports
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mukura Win
Draw
Kiyovu Sports Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.58 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mukura Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Kiyovu Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
Mukura Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18 | Mukura vs Gorilla | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Mukura vs Musanze | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Mukura vs Amagaju | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Mukura vs Bugesera | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… | 0-1 |
| Apr 02 | Mukura vs Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Mukura vs Marines | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Mukura vs Etincelles | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Mukura vs Kiyovu Sp… | 2-1 |
Kiyovu Sports Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Singida F… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Singida F… | 0-1 |
| Sep 19 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Muhanga | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Rayon Spo… | 0-2 |
| May 28 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla | 1-0 |
| May 27 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Bugesera | 5-0 |
| May 22 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Amagaju | 2-0 |
| May 21 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Bugesera | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Rutsiro | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Kiyovu Sports struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mukura | 0 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports | 0 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Mukura | 2 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports | 0 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Kiyovu Sports | 1 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Mukura | 0 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Dec 06, 2023 | Mukura | 4 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports | 4 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kiyovu Sports | 1 - 1 | Mukura | National Socce… |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Mukura | 1 - 1 | Kiyovu Sports | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Mukura Power
0
Kiyovu Sports Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Mukura Position+3
Position Gap8
Kiyovu Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.