AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Oct 25, 2025

Zira

Home
VS
14:30

Sumqayıt

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Zira Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Sumqayıt Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.46 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Sumqayıt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Zira Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Zira vs Sabah FA 3-0
Oct 18 Zira vs Lao Army 7-0
Oct 14 Zira vs Saudi Ara… 0-0
Oct 10 Zira vs Russia 2-1
Oct 04 Zira vs Salavan U… 2-0
Oct 03 Zira vs Neftchi B… 2-2
Oct 01 Zira vs Luangprab… 5-0
Sep 28 Zira vs Savannakh… 1-8
Sep 26 Zira vs Mil-Muğan 1-1
Sep 24 Zira vs Master 7 0-3
Sumqayıt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Sumqayıt vs Karvan 4-1
Oct 04 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 0-3
Sep 28 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 1-1
Sep 21 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 0-2
Sep 13 Sumqayıt vs Mil-Muğan 1-0
Aug 29 Sumqayıt vs Şamaxı 1-1
Aug 22 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Aug 17 Sumqayıt vs Kəpəz 3-0
May 17 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 0-1
May 04 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sumqayıt struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2025 Zira 3 - 1 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Feb 15, 2025 Sumqayıt 0 - 3 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 30, 2024 Zira 4 - 1 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 22, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 2 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 12, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Feb 13, 2024 Zira 0 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 26, 2023 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 15, 2023 Zira 1 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zira Power 0
Sumqayıt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Zira Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Sumqayıt Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.